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What Do Futurists Read? Check out the books on our member’s “must read” list

 
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APF Member's Recommendations
What do futurist’s read?  Check out the books that top our member’s “must read” list.

Top Ten Strategic Planning Books E-mail
Written by Andy Hines   

Futurists Recommend Strategic Planning Books for 2007

More Nimble Strategic Planning Approach is Enjoying Resurgence of Interest HOUSTON – Just in time for the New Year, The Association of Professional Futurists (APF) today announced its Top Ten List of Strategic Planning Books for businesses, organizations and individuals looking to apply some strategy to their planning efforts in 2007 and beyond.  “What better time of year to rethink our approach to planning for the future and add some expert strategy to the effort,” says Andy Hines, APF board member and Senior Director of Consulting at Social Technologies, a leading foresight consultancy.

The APF is a global community of practicing futurists who use an interdisciplinary approach to explore a range of plausible futures in order to more effectively prepare clients and organizations for what lies ahead. Hines, also Adjunct Professor in the Futures program at the University of Houston, recently polled APF members on their favorite strategic planning texts and synthesized their recommendations into a list that he plans to distribute to graduate students enrolled in the Futures program this Spring.  “While not as trendy as it was during the 1980s, ‘a slimmed down, more nimble approach to strategic planning’ is enjoying a resurgence of interest,” says Hines.

APF 2007 Top Ten Strategic Planning Books

  • The Strategy of Indirect Approach, by Basil Lidell-Hart, 1954; (an influential military text)
  • Strategic Planning: What Every Manager Must Know, by George Steiner, 1979, 1997; (considered by many to be
    the standard text in the field)
  • Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors, by Michael Porter, 1980; (includes a Five Forces model which is considered a starting point for strategic analysis)
  • Strategic Planning for Public and Nonprofit Organizations: A Guide to Strengthening and Sustaining Organizational Achievement, 3rd Edition, by John M. Bryson, 1995. (used by the University of Houston Futures program; companion workbook also available)
  • Strategy Safari: A Guided Tour through the Wilds of Strategic Management, by Henry Mintzburg,1998; (outlines the major schools of strategic thinking)
  • The Sixth Sense, by Kees Van der Heijden, 2002. (useful in linking strategy to foresight)
  • Seeing What's Next, by Clay Christensen, 2004. (applying ideas of Innovator's Dilemma to forecasting industry evolution)
  • Blue Ocean Strategy: How to Create Uncontested Market Space and Make Competition Irrelevant, by Renee Mauborgne and W. Chan Kim, 2005; (emphasizes capturing and creating new demand rather than focusing on battling existing competitors in the existing spaces)
  • Simplified Strategic Planning: A No-Nonsense Guide for Busy People Who Want Results Fast! by Robert W. Bradford and J. Peter Duncan, 2000. (used by Regent U's Strategic Foresight Master's program)
  • Strategic Management and Competitive Advantage, by Jay Barney and William Hesterly, 2005. (includes useful case study examples)

Special thanks to APF members Stephen Aguilar-Milan, Lawrence Bonney, Jim Burke, Christian Crews, Jay Gary, Mike Jackson, Herb Rubenstein, and Lloyd Walker for their contributions.
 
Changing Minds E-mail
Written by Cindy Frewen-Wuellner   

This book, Changing Minds: The Art and Science of Changing Our Own and Other People's Minds, written by Howard Gardner, a psychologist and professor at Harvard, examines the factors involved in changing minds on significant issues, in politics, science, business and art.

Important study on cognition - how people change their minds from outside persuasion, in seven scales from individual to national, homogeneous and heterogeneous groups.

More info at Amazon

 
Counterculture Through the Ages E-mail
Written by Michele Bowman   

Counterculture Through the Ages: From Abraham to Acid House by Ken Hoffman and Dan Joy.

It’s been a long time since a history book has kept me reading late into the night! A work of historical scholarship cleverly disguised in a colorful and irreverent narrative, Goffman offers insights into the personalities and perspectives that have produced some of the most influential countercultures in society.

More info at Amazon

 
The Wisdom of Crowds E-mail
Written by Lisa Bodell   

Find out why groups are smarter than the smartest individuals. Learn what this means for your business.

New Yorker business columnist JamesSurowiecki argues that "under the right circumstances, groups are remarkably intelligent, and are often smarter than the smartest people in them," in his book, The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies and Nations

More info from Amazon

 
Blowback: The Costs and Consequences of American Empire E-mail
Written by Lee Shupp   

Blowback is a term the CIA invented to describe the unintended consequences of American policies.

In his book, Blowback: The Costs and Consequences of American Empire, published pre-911, Chalmers Johnson, an authority on Japan and its economy, connects the dots between American policies and numerous "blowbacks" experienced in the recent past. It serves as a wake up call for America.

More info at Amazon

 
Radical Evolution E-mail
Written by Mark Justman   

Radical Evolution : The Promise and Peril of Enhancing Our Minds, Our Bodies - and What It Means to Be Human is the latest work from Washington Post reporter,  Joel Garreau.

Garreau takes readers on a cross-country trip into the future as he interviews scientists and other thinkers grappling with the implications of our newfound—and, to some, frightening - knowledge of the genome.

Read more...
 
Collapse E-mail
Written by Michele Bowman   

Collapse, by Pulitzer Prize winning author Jared Diamond, explores what caused some of the great civilizations of the past to collapse, and asks what are the implications for the present and the future.

More info at Amazon 

 
Our Own Devices: The Past and Future of Body Technology E-mail
Written by Lisa Bodell   

How does technology shape our lives and our bodies? This book takes a look at many consumer items including baby bottles, sandals, keyboards, eyeglasses and helmets.

Princeton scholar Edward Tenner, author of Why Things Bite Back and now Our Own Devices: The Past and Future of Body Technology traces the interaction between the human body and technology, and how the tools we make change and affect us.

More info from Amazon

 
The Causal Layered Analysis Reader E-mail
Written by Cindy Frewen-Wuellner   

The Causal Layered Analysis Reader
The Causal Layered Analysis Reader
Sohail Inayatullah's Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) is the first major new futures theory and method since Delphi, almost forty years ago.

CLA is a very sophisticated way to categorize different views of and concerns about the futures, and then to use them to help groups think about the futures far more effectively than they could by using any one of the layers alone, as most theory/methods do.

- James Dator, Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Hawaii

More info

 
Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence E-mail
Written by Michele Bowman   

Here, Peter Schwartz, one of America's foremost prognosticators and author of the bestseller and management classic The Art of the Long View , discusses the big surprises ahead, the resulting scenarios that are creating the future of our world, and what they will mean for you and your business.

More info from Amazon

 
Hiding the Elephant E-mail
Written by Lisa Bodell   

According to Jim Steinmeyer, author of Hiding the Elephant: How Magicians Invented the Impossible and Learned to Disappear, the success of a magician "lies in making a human connection to the magic."

This book is about magicians, their trade, and our connection to magic and illusion and makes for a fascinating read.

More info from Amazon

 
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