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Peter Schwartz’s The Art of the Long View was the top vote-getter in the APF’s inaugural most important futures work balloting. This year members voted for books in the recent past as well as “classics.” They had 10 votes, either choosing from a list of 20 nominated by the “Most Important Futures Works team, or writing in up to five personal choices. Starting next year, the team plans to focus on identifying the most important works of the current year on an annual basis. These may go beyond books to include futures works in other media as well. The team was led by Ken Harris, and consisted of Andy Hines, Amy Oberg, Cindy Frewen Wuellner, Gitte Larsen, and Oliver Markley.
The “top ten” in order of votes received:
- Art of the Long View by Peter Schwartz
- Foundations of Futures Studies: Human Science for a New Era by Wendell Bell
- The Knowledge Base of Futures Studies, Richard Slaughter (ed.)
- Limits to Growth by Donnella H. Meadows, Dennis L. Meadows, Jergen L. Randers and William H. Behrens
- The State of the World (series) by The Worldwatch Institute
- The State of the Future by Jerome Glenn and Ted Gordon
- The Art of Conjecture by Bertrand de Jouvenel
- Futures Research Methodology by Jerome Glenn and Ted Gordon
- The Age of Spiritual Machines by Ray Kurzweil
- Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed by Jared Diamond
All of the books that the team nominated received at least one vote, and members wrote in many others, reflecting the diversity and breadth of our field. The rest of the vote-getters, in order of votes received:
- Spiral Dynamics by Don Beck and Christopher Cowan
- The Structure of Scientific Revolutions by Thomas Kuhn
- The Image of the Future by Fred Polak
- Generations: The History of America’s Future 1584-2089 by William Strauss and Neil Howe
- Silent Spring by Rachel Carson
- The Mystery of Capital by Hernando de Soto
- Learning from the Future: Competitive Foresight Scenarios by Liam Fahey and Robert M. Randall
- Seven Tomorrows by Paul Hawken
- Beyond Globalization by Hazel Henderson
- The 500 Year Delta by Jim Taylor and Watts Wacker
- Theory U-Leading from the Future as It Emerges by C. Otto Scharmer
- Future Shock by Alvin Toffler
- Thinking About the Future by Andy Hines and Peter Bishop
- Questioning the Future: Methods and Tools for Organizational and Societal Transformation by Sohail Inayatullah
- The Challenge of Man’s Future by Harrison Brown
- The Extreme Future by James Canton
- Built to Last: Successful Habits of Visionary Companies by Jim Collins and Jerry L. Porras
- Beyond Growth by Herman Daly
- The End of History by Francis Fukuyama
- Macrohistory and Macrohistorians: Perspectives on Individual, Social, and Civilization Change by Johan Galtung and Sohail Inayatullah
- Creating Futures by Michel Godet
- Competing for the Future by Gary Hamel and C. K. Phahalad
- The Age of Unreason by Charles Handy
- Global Mind Change by Willis Harman
- Natural Capitalism: Creating the Next Industrial Revolution by Paul Hawken, Amory Lovins and L. Hunter Lovins
- The Causal Layered Analysis Reader, Sohail Inayatullah (ed.)
- Modernization and Post Modernization by Ronald Inglehart
- The Origins of Order by Stuart Kaufman
- Macroshift by Ervin Laslo
- The Consciousness Revolution by Ervin Laslo, Stanislav Grof, and Peter Russell
- Collective Intelligence: Mankind’s Emerging World in Cyberspace by Pierre Levy
- The Meaning of the 21st Century by James Martin
- Understanding Media: The Extensions of Man by Marshall McLuhan
- Megatrends by John Naisbitt
- The Scenario Planning Handbook: Developing Strategies in Uncertain Times by Ian Wilson and Bill Ralston
- The Biotech Age: The Business of Biotech and How to Profit from It by Richard Oliver
- Rescuing All Our Futures by Zialuddin Sardar (ed.)
- Scenarios in Public Policy by Gill Ringland
- American Dream-Global Nightmare by Zialuddin Sardar and Merryl Wyn Davies
- Presence: Human Purpose and the Field of the Future by Peter Senge
- Futures Beyond Dystopia by Richard Slaughter
- Redesigning Humans: Our Inevitable Genetic Future by Gregory Stock
- The Third Wave by Alvin Toffler
- The Ascendant Perspective by Robert Ulanowicz
- Scenarios-The Art of Conversations by Kees Van Der Heijden
- Integral Psychology: Consciousness, Spirit, Psychology, Therapy by Ken Wilber
- The Integral Vision: A Very Short Introduction to the Revolutionary Integral Approach to Life, God, the Universe and Everything by Ken Wilber
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